What kind of performances can we expect on Tuesday from , , and ? Follow along as our NBA betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down his three favorite NBA prop bets for March 14 on the hardwood.
On Tuesday, the NBA slate features eight games, beginning with two games on the east coast at 7:00 p.m. EST. Ahead of tip-off, the status of , , Brandon Ingram, , , and others is uncertain for today’s action on the official injury report. To analyze the potential impact of these losses on the player prop market, bettors can use CourtIQ, available at RotoGrinders.
We swept our card yesterday, bringing our record to 13-4-1 across the last six days. These plays are also delivered daily in video format on YouTube! We are now profitable 28 of the last 46 days overall. Across the last 68 days, we are 108-88-8, including a 74-58-6 run during the last 46 days. Below, we have three spots we are targeting for March 14 on the hardwood.
March: 21-17-1
February: 33-28-5
December 29 – January 31: 54-43-2
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Entering play, is second in the NBA in scoring during the month of March, averaging 35.3 points on 22.8 field goal attempts per game. Tonight, we are getting a slight discount on Booker’s points prop, likely due to the tough overall matchup for the Phoenix Suns against the Milwaukee Bucks. However, the Bucks have been vulnerable against opposing guards of late, allowing 35 points to De’Aaron Fox, 28 points to , 36 points to , 33 points to , and 38 points to – each in the last 10 days. When is out of the lineup for the Suns, Booker and Deandre Ayton are the clear leaders of this offense, having combined for 41.1% of the team’s total shot attempts last night against the Golden State Warriors. Expect Booker to have high usage again on Tuesday, and for him to have a great chance to hit the over on his points prop for the sixth time in his last seven games.
In five games to begin the month of March, is averaging 15.6 shot attempts per game, including back-to-back contests with at least 19 field goal attempts. Tonight, he gets a matchup with the Denver Nuggets, which rank 22nd out of 30 teams in defensive efficiency on the road this season. In 31 home games this year, Barnes is averaging 28.8 points + rebounds + assists (PRA), compared to 26.1 PRA in 34 road contests. Barnes is shooting 48.0% from the floor and 34.7% from beyond-the-arc at home, compared to 42.7% from the field and 26.0% from beyond-the-arc on the road. Barnes has totaled at least eight rebounds + assists in 29 of his last 30 games overall, including at least 11 rebounds + assists in 21 of his last 30 contests, making his PRA a great look in this spot. Take the over.
On the team’s recent five-game road trip, was underwhelming overall, averaging 15.8 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 5.0 assists on 42% shooting from the field. Still, Siakam played at least 37 minutes in each contest, collecting at least five assists in three of those five games on 10.2 potential assists per game. Tonight, Siakam gets a favorable matchup at home against the Denver Nuggets, which rank 26th in opponent assists allowed per game across their last 10 trips to the hardwood. At home this season, Siakam is averaging 5.9 assists on 11.0 potential assists per game. According to props.cash, Siakam has eclipsed this market number in 22 of his last 27 home games, with three of his misses being games with exactly four assists. Simply, there is no good reason to pass on this play this evening, even with the heavy juice. The math makes sense. Take the over and live with the result.
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