Best NFL underdog picks and predictions for Week 18

We have reached the final week of the 2022 NFL season with games only on Saturday and Sunday in Week 18. In Week 17, only 4 underdogs won their games outright, but 8 dogs covered the spread.

Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 18 underdog bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

Of my 3 best underdog picks last week, 2 were correct. The Denver Broncos covered the spread against the Kansas City Chiefs and the Cleveland Browns beat the Washington Commanders outright. The Tennessee Titans did not cover against the Dallas Cowboys.

With last week, my picks are 24-27 on the season.

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NFL underdog predictions: Week 18

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at Friday at 6:19 a.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.

NEW YORK JETS (+115) at Miami Dolphins – 1 p.m. (FOX)

In a battle of 2 teams with 5-game losing streaks, I like the Jets. QB Mike White starts for the Jets, but the Dolphins aren’t sure who will start for them. QB Tua Tagovailoa is still recovering from a concussion and backup QB Teddy Bridgewater hurt his finger and couldn’t throw the ball to start the week.

The Dolphins have allowed 27.4 points per game in their losing streak. But that is paired with a Jets team that has averaged only 12 in their losing streak.

Something has to give and the New York defense will take advantage of the quarterback issues for Miami.

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CLEVELAND BROWNS (+120) at Pittsburgh Steelers – 1 p.m. (CBS)

The Browns have won 4 of their last 6 games and the defense has allowed only 14.0 points per game in that stretch.

The Steelers only average 17.5 points per game. They have won 3 straight and 5 of 6 but are only averaging 18.3 points per game in that stretch.

The Browns can spoil the Steelers streak of consecutive seasons without a losing record.

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TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS +4 (-109) Atlanta Falcons – 1 p.m. (FOX)

Tampa Bay coach Todd Bowles is not planning on resting his starters although they could get pulled early. They have the No. 4 seed locked up but need to play better before the playoffs start and likely don’t want to end the regular season with a losing record.

The Falcons have only 2 wins in their last 8 games and those 2 wins came against a 3-win Chicago Bears team and a 4-win Arizona Cardinals team. They beat the Cardinals 20-19 last week on a last-second field goal and have not won a game by more than 3 points since Week 6.

More NFL Week 18 picks and predictions

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