The Golden State Warriors (36-36) visit the Houston Rockets (18-53) on Monday night! Action tips off at 8:10 p.m. ET. Below we continue our NBA odds series with a Warriors-Rockets prediction, pick, and how to watch.
Golden State has lost three straight games but remains in seventh place in the Western Conference. The Warriors covered 47% of their games while 58% went over the projected point total. Houston has won three of their last four games and sits in last place in the West. The Rockets covered 43% of their games while 51% went under. This will be the fourth and final meeting between the conference foes. Golden State has won each previous matchup including the most recent in late February, 116-101.
Here are the Warriors-Rockets NBA odds, courtesy of FanDuel
Golden State Warriors: -11 (-114)
Houston Rockets: +11 (-106)
Over: 235.5 (-110)
Under: 235.5 (-110)
TV: NBCS Bay Area, ATTSN Southwest
Stream: NBA League Pass
Time: 8:00 p.m. ET/ 5:00 p.m. PT
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Golden State finds themselves free-falling in recent games as they have lost three straight games and dropped into the play-in game. That being said, the Warriors remain a serious threat in the Western Conference as they are among the best offensive teams in the league. Their 118.3 PPG ranks second in the league while their 29.5 APG ranks first. They get most of their work done from beyond the arc as they lead the league in made and attempts threes while ranking third with a 38% three-point percentage. While they have blown the Rockets out in their two most recent meetings, both of those matchups came in Golden State. The Warriors are among the worst road teams in the league and thus they’ll need their stars to show up if they want to cover a hefty road spread.
Golden State is led by their guard play as neither Stephen Curry nor Klay Thompson has shown any signs of slowing down despite their age. Both sharpshooters have been on fire since the All-Star break. Over his last eight games, Curry has averaged 31.5 PPG, 5.5 RPG, and 5.3 APG. He has been absolutely scorching hot over that span, shooting 52% from the floor and 47% from three while making 5.5 threes per game. While he is coming off a poor 16-point outing, Curry had previously dropped 31 and 50 points in his last two games and will likely be back on track against a poor Houston defense.
As for Thompson, he has been near as impressive since the All-Star break. In 14 games, Thompson averaged 23.4 PPG and 5.0 RPG while shooting 43% from three on 4.4 made threes per game. The sharpshooter has had an incredible bounce-back season now that he is fully recovered from his various injuries. Thompson has averaged a staggering 41.5 PPG in two previous meetings with the Rockets and will likely be locked and loaded again tonight.
Houston enters tonight at the bottom of the pack in the Western Conference but they have looked frisky in recent games. The Rockets have notably won three of their last four games – including wins over the Lakers and Celtics. With the Warriors struggling so much on the road this season, the Rockets are in a prime position to not only cover – but potentially own outright. That starts on the defensive end as they’ve allowed just 112 points per game. That being said, their biggest path to covering against the Warriors tonight is on the glass. Houston leads the league in offensive rebound rate – something that bodes well for their chances of covering tonight considering the Warriors are a below-average defensive rebounding team.
If the Rockets are going to cover tonight they are going to need a big performance from one of their two young guards. Jalen Green has slowly begun to ascend in the second half of the season as he is averaging 22.8 PPG since the All-Star break. While he is shooting just 43% over that span, the former No. 2 overall pick is coming off a 40-point outing against the Pelicans and will be shooting early and often tonight. As for Kevin Porter, he may be in for a bigger role with Green questionable. Over his last nine games, KPJ has averaged 16.7 PPG and 6.7 APG.
Golden State is one of the worst road teams in the league as they are just 7-29 away from home. Couple that with Houston winning three of their last four games and it’s hard not to like the Rockets tonight. Confidently hammer the home underdogs and don’t be afraid to sprinkle something on their money line.
Final Warriors-Rockets Prediction & Pick: Houston Rockets +11 (-106)
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